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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484610203040607080907042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
29.82.9
17.120.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 7.1
22.70.0
15.815.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
Second
6861
#24
15.12.9
12.915.8
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 0.1
548
#16
15.20.0
15.115.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Third
5424
#20
13.12.9
13.516.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 2.5
8519
#33
10.60.0
10.810.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed