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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43413050604851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.2
23.624.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
red by 13.7
5167
#11
15.20.5
12.612.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
9765
#35
7.31.2
8.49.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
blue by 5.6
308
#14
13.00.5
11.811.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
7813
#38
3.91.2
5.06.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 7.6
7660
#23
11.60.5
14.313.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed