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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42512060801004636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#16
15.20.3
14.414.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 4.4
3538
#13
19.51.0
20.919.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Second
6861
#24
15.10.3
15.014.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 1.3
7225
#25
13.71.0
14.213.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
2224
#12
8.70.3
9.69.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 2.0
8519
#33
10.61.0
9.98.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed