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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53240204060803719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
28.20.8
22.421.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
red by 14.0
5561
#17
14.11.8
12.210.3
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Second
7660
#23
11.60.8
13.712.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 2.3
8774
#27
9.31.8
4.12.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
7220
#34
6.80.8
8.47.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 0.5
5642
#26
7.31.8
9.17.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed