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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285802040804168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6344
#18
15.00.3
13.313.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 14.8
503
#5
29.82.1
21.623.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
9455
#30
10.80.3
9.19.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 18.0
28.92.1
24.826.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Third
7813
#38
3.90.3
6.36.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 1.3
9685
#28
5.32.1
2.44.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed