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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3744102030506070803153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#16
15.20.9
14.113.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 13.0
67
#2
28.21.6
21.623.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
7225
#25
13.70.9
13.212.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 1.4
5167
#11
15.21.6
12.113.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
5478
#31
7.40.9
7.06.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Level
8364
#29
7.31.6
5.16.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned