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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392801020506070804234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.9
14.715.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 3.2
6344
#18
15.00.3
13.613.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Second
6861
#24
15.10.9
14.715.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 2.1
308
#14
13.00.3
10.410.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
9685
#28
5.30.9
4.65.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
red by 1.7
9735
#36
3.60.3
2.52.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed