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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34260102030405060702437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#15
17.90.6
15.815.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 3.7
5561
#17
14.10.2
10.310.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Second
5642
#26
7.30.6
7.36.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
red by 0.2
4961
#22
7.10.2
7.47.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
8124
#32
3.50.6
6.76.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
blue by 2.3
4384
#19
5.80.2
7.17.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed