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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352204060804155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
21.30.4
16.817.2
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 0.8
20.60.0
17.217.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
8519
#33
10.60.4
8.99.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 3.7
14.30.0
14.014.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
7813
#38
3.90.4
6.56.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 9.2
5424
#20
13.10.0
13.813.8
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned