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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582702040801006220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.9
21.122.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 14.2
7660
#23
11.60.9
12.912.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Second
3538
#13
19.50.9
19.920.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 9.1
5860
#21
10.40.9
9.38.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Third
7220
#34
6.80.9
7.58.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 0.8
9204
#37
6.10.9
6.05.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed