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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19450406080961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#19
5.81.7
7.45.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 22.3
67
#2
28.21.4
23.124.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
7813
#38
3.91.7
6.95.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 6.7
8519
#33
10.61.4
9.410.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Third
8124
#32
3.51.7
6.14.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
blue by 1.8
9685
#28
5.31.4
5.56.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned