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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3744102030506070802248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#11
15.21.2
13.712.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 6.2
3322
#10
21.30.9
17.218.2
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
5561
#17
14.11.2
10.69.3
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 0.9
6861
#24
15.10.9
15.616.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Third
9765
#35
7.31.2
9.88.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
Level
5478
#31
7.40.9
6.07.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed