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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51411020306070806248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.7
22.122.8
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 3.1
22.70.5
19.219.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
Second
1701
#15
17.90.7
15.215.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 4.9
308
#14
13.00.5
10.711.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
4961
#22
7.10.7
7.68.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
red by 0.2
7220
#34
6.80.5
8.59.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed