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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70290204060801005336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
29.80.6
23.923.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 15.5
14.30.5
14.014.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
3538
#13
19.50.6
20.820.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 5.8
7225
#25
13.70.5
12.312.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
6344
#18
15.00.6
13.913.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
red by 8.9
9204
#37
6.10.5
5.15.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed