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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031010205060703949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#16
15.20.7
13.212.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 5.4
20.61.5
17.218.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
5424
#20
13.10.7
13.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 2.3
9455
#30
10.81.5
9.511.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Third
5860
#21
10.40.7
8.47.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
red by 6.8
9735
#36
3.61.5
2.84.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed