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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185204060801840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#23
11.60.3
12.011.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
blue by 18.0
29.50.3
25.925.5
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Second
8774
#27
9.30.3
3.23.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 0.6
2224
#12
8.70.3
10.29.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Third
7813
#38
3.90.2
5.25.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 3.4
8364
#29
7.30.3
7.26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed