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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394201020305060704540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.9
22.823.7
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 10.7
6861
#24
15.10.3
16.516.2
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Second
4384
#19
5.80.9
5.76.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 7.9
7225
#25
13.70.3
12.712.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
9685
#28
5.30.9
6.87.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 2.1
9765
#35
7.30.3
8.58.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed