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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485210203040607080906949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
29.82.4
23.325.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 9.2
20.60.2
18.718.9
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
5561
#17
14.12.4
9.311.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 5.4
3538
#13
19.50.2
20.220.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
308
#14
13.02.4
11.113.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 2.6
5860
#21
10.40.2
7.88.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed