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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36270102040506070803826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.2
17.115.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 3.0
548
#16
15.20.1
12.512.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Second
9204
#37
6.11.2
7.96.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 0.8
7220
#34
6.80.1
7.77.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Third
4384
#19
5.81.2
6.65.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
red by 1.9
7813
#38
3.90.1
5.05.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed