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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624320801006543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
28.20.1
26.426.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
red by 13.1
6861
#24
15.10.3
16.216.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Second
20.60.1
18.919.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 7.6
308
#14
13.00.3
13.613.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Third
4961
#22
7.10.1
8.48.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 3.7
9455
#30
10.80.3
11.010.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed