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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46250102030405060705621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#15
17.91.6
15.917.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 7.2
8519
#33
10.60.4
10.710.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Second
6344
#18
15.01.6
13.314.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
red by 7.7
5478
#31
7.40.4
7.06.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Third
2224
#12
8.71.6
9.811.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
red by 1.4
5642
#26
7.30.4
7.26.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed