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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572502040801007253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.4
19.721.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 1.3
3322
#10
21.32.3
18.220.5
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
18.21.4
15.817.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 8.9
8774
#27
9.32.3
3.05.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
5167
#11
15.21.4
12.413.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 9.1
9204
#37
6.12.3
5.67.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed