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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300102040506070803140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#13
19.50.8
20.519.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 6.4
5424
#20
13.11.0
11.912.8
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
7660
#23
11.60.8
11.410.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 0.9
8519
#33
10.61.0
10.311.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Third
9685
#28
5.30.8
7.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 2.0
8364
#29
7.31.0
6.97.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed