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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46451020304050607080903956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
28.20.6
26.525.9
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
blue by 1.6
503
#5
29.80.7
25.726.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
9765
#35
7.30.7
8.37.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
blue by 3.1
5860
#21
10.40.6
8.89.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Third
9204
#37
6.10.6
6.76.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.2
5642
#26
7.30.6
6.67.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed