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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207204060801001203467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6861
#24
15.10.4
16.016.3
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 13.8
28.90.6
27.628.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Second
4384
#19
5.80.4
5.45.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 14.8
20.60.6
19.019.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Third
9735
#36
3.60.4
3.33.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
blue by 10.6
5561
#17
14.10.6
12.613.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed