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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27560204060801002367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#14
13.00.4
13.312.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 16.6
29.50.7
28.228.9
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Second
8519
#33
10.60.4
11.310.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 4.5
548
#16
15.20.7
12.613.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Third
8124
#32
3.50.4
3.43.0
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
blue by 5.8
8774
#27
9.30.7
6.16.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed