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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5920040801006716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.5
21.822.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 14.0
2224
#12
8.71.4
10.89.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Second
3538
#13
19.50.5
19.720.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 14.3
9685
#28
5.31.4
7.05.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Third
5478
#31
7.40.5
6.97.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
red by 3.4
7813
#38
3.91.4
5.13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed