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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46520204060801003246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
29.81.0
26.425.4
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 4.0
25.80.1
23.523.5
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Second
4961
#22
7.11.0
8.57.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 7.9
6344
#18
15.00.1
15.215.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
7220
#34
6.81.0
7.76.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 0.5
8364
#29
7.30.1
7.97.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed