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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65300204060801001205428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
21.30.1
20.920.8
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 8.2
5424
#20
13.10.4
12.812.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
1701
#15
17.90.1
18.418.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 6.3
7660
#23
11.60.4
10.710.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
14.30.1
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 7.0
9765
#35
7.30.4
7.67.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed