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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353402060801001204136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.6
15.916.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
red by 3.1
5167
#11
15.20.4
14.213.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
7225
#25
13.70.6
12.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 2.9
9455
#30
10.80.4
10.810.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Third
8124
#32
3.50.5
3.03.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
blue by 1.8
9685
#28
5.30.3
5.65.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed