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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2168040608010012025105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#17
14.10.1
13.213.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 15.6
503
#5
29.82.5
25.427.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
5478
#31
7.40.1
7.57.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 18.4
25.82.5
23.526.0
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Third
9735
#36
3.60.1
3.73.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
blue by 5.7
8774
#27
9.32.5
6.79.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned