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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426020805344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
28.929.1
Auto12.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
red by 10.0
3538
#13
19.50.6
20.219.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Second
5642
#26
7.30.2
7.27.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
blue by 7.8
6861
#24
15.10.6
16.315.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Third
7813
#38
3.90.2
3.73.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 10.4
14.30.6
15.615.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed