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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284701020406070802424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#11
15.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 5.4
20.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
4961
#22
7.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 3.5
8519
#33
10.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Third
9204
#37
6.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.6
2224
#12
8.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed