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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572802040801004641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.5
22.421.8
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 7.6
6344
#18
15.00.1
15.215.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Second
7225
#25
13.70.5
13.412.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 6.4
9765
#35
7.30.1
7.27.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
Third
5424
#20
13.10.5
12.411.9
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 6.3
7220
#34
6.80.1
6.76.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed