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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47421020306070805037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#2
28.20.4
25.926.3
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
red by 6.8
3322
#10
21.30.5
20.820.3
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
9455
#30
10.80.4
10.410.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 0.8
7660
#23
11.60.5
10.39.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
4384
#19
5.80.4
5.76.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 1.5
8364
#29
7.30.5
7.87.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed