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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284401020405060702252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#25
13.70.6
13.012.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 4.5
18.21.6
14.416.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Second
8364
#29
7.30.6
7.87.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 7.0
14.31.6
13.314.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Third
7813
#38
3.90.6
6.76.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 6.5
5860
#21
10.41.6
10.211.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed