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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27530102040607080648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9455
#30
10.82.4
7.75.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 15.0
25.80.3
14.915.3
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Second
2224
#12
8.72.4
10.17.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 12.7
3322
#10
21.30.3
15.816.1
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
5642
#26
7.32.4
9.47.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
blue by 5.7
308
#14
13.00.3
14.214.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned