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Red68
240520.3
498318.0
439225.3
Blue29
96729.3
696311.4
43828.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions672204060801001206829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.2
19.019.2
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 13.9
6963
#21
11.40.1
9.19.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Second
20.30.2
17.818.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 11.0
9.30.1
9.08.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Third
4983
#16
18.00.2
18.718.9
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 9.6
4382
#37
8.30.1
7.47.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed