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Red34
782618.6
611210.0
95418.7
Blue36
654823.6
552522.4
65335.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325502040801003436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7826
#18
18.60.2
16.716.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 5.1
6548
#17
23.60.7
24.824.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Second
6112
#34
10.00.2
8.68.7
Auto6.3
Teleop1.7
End2.1
blue by 12.4
22.40.7
16.715.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
9541
#22
8.70.2
6.56.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
red by 3.0
6533
#36
5.70.7
5.75.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed