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Red52
96729.3
51627.7
499413.2
Blue11
97547.0
959411.7
782618.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284202060801005211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4994
#20
13.20.3
10.510.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
blue by 5.4
7826
#18
18.61.7
16.815.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9.30.3
8.99.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
blue by 2.4
9594
#23
11.71.7
12.811.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Third
5162
#24
7.70.3
7.57.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 0.7
9754
#40
7.01.7
6.64.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed