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Red52
90412.1
439814.9
483514.1
Blue52
776822.4
60337.9
552522.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385302060801005252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#29
14.9
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 7.6
22.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Second
4835
#10
14.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 8.3
22.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Third
904
#14
12.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
red by 4.2
6033
#25
7.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed