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Red73
722626.4
550526.5
51627.7
Blue61
439225.3
921518.8
959411.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801001207361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
21.222.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
red by 1.2
25.31.0
20.121.0
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Second
7226
#12
26.41.2
21.422.6
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
red by 7.7
9215
#19
18.81.0
15.516.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
5162
#24
7.71.2
7.89.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
blue by 3.9
9594
#23
11.71.0
11.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed