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Red44
148123.0
95418.7
96729.3
Blue29
610020.5
439814.9
782618.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445102060801001204429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
23.00.2
25.325.5
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 2.6
6100
#13
20.51.1
15.614.5
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Second
9.30.2
9.39.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
blue by 9.3
7826
#18
18.61.1
15.214.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
9541
#22
8.70.2
6.36.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 6.2
4398
#29
14.91.1
14.613.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed