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Red59
498318.0
43828.3
654823.6
Blue47
523110.7
97547.0
917623.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020801005947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#17
23.60.6
24.024.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
blue by 0.1
9176
#15
23.70.6
20.621.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
Second
4983
#16
18.00.6
17.918.5
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 7.3
5231
#32
10.70.6
11.812.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Third
4382
#37
8.30.6
7.88.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 1.3
9754
#40
7.00.6
5.56.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed