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Red38
610020.5
523412.0
959411.7
Blue62
148123.0
60337.9
240520.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346402040801003862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6100
#13
20.50.2
14.514.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
blue by 2.6
1481
#11
23.00.2
25.525.7
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
5234
#35
12.00.2
7.78.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 8.3
20.30.2
18.718.9
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
9594
#23
11.70.2
12.112.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
red by 3.8
6033
#25
7.90.2
10.410.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed