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Red35
921518.8
483514.1
696311.4
Blue62
716016.5
552522.4
96729.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060801003562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#19
18.80.3
16.416.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 3.7
22.41.3
17.518.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Second
4835
#10
14.10.3
12.612.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 2.4
7160
#31
16.51.3
16.317.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
6963
#21
11.40.3
11.110.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 2.1
9.31.3
9.510.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed