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Red29
51627.7
556011.6
66429.8
Blue56
95418.7
439225.3
482710.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28440204060802956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#28
11.60.0
8.98.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 13.7
25.30.9
21.021.9
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Second
6642
#39
9.80.0
9.79.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
blue by 0.1
4827
#26
10.00.9
10.611.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End2.7
Third
5162
#24
7.70.0
9.08.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
blue by 1.0
9541
#22
8.70.9
6.57.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed