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Red59
782618.6
90412.1
828622.7
Blue47
550526.5
96615.9
439814.9
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474742444648505254565947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
18.519.0
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
blue by 3.8
26.50.0
22.422.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Second
7826
#18
18.60.4
14.114.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 3.7
4398
#29
14.90.0
13.513.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
904
#14
12.10.4
10.010.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
red by 6.2
9661
#38
5.90.0
6.96.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed