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Red60
917623.7
65335.7
439225.3
Blue31
97547.0
95418.7
66429.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6020040801006031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.7
21.922.6
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 15.5
6642
#39
9.80.2
9.79.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Second
9176
#15
23.70.7
21.221.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
red by 15.0
9541
#22
8.70.2
7.47.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
Third
6533
#36
5.70.7
6.57.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 1.3
9754
#40
7.00.2
6.16.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed