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Red44
483514.1
150219.8
51627.7
Blue41
90412.1
43828.3
522914.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45350204060801004441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.1
18.618.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 5.7
5229
#30
14.10.4
13.914.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Second
4835
#10
14.10.1
12.212.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
red by 2.0
904
#14
12.10.4
10.410.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
5162
#24
7.70.1
8.98.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
blue by 0.6
4382
#37
8.30.4
8.48.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed